Monday 26 September 2016

Wonkbook: 'The whole chessboard'

By Jim Tankersley Donald Trump would pull the United States out of the World Trade Organization if necessary to help American companies sell more abroad. He thinks that he can close the United States' $500 billion trade deficit within two years by renegotiating trade deals. And he sees this new approach to trade as the …
 
Wonkbook
The latest economic and domestic policy from Wonkblog
 
 
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks to the Economic Club of New York luncheon in Manhattan, New York, U.S., September 15, 2016.  REUTERS/Mike Segar

Donald Trump speaks at the Economic Club of New York on Sept. 15. REUTERS/Mike Segar

By Jim Tankersley

Donald Trump would pull the United States out of the World Trade Organization if necessary to help American companies sell more abroad. He thinks that he can close the United States' $500 billion trade deficit within two years by renegotiating trade deals. And he sees this new approach to trade as the key complement to a bevy of traditional Republican policies — tax cuts, energy drilling and deregulation — that will supercharge the economy, according to a new campaign analysis that lays out the Republican candidate's economic strategy in the most detail yet.

It is an unusually ideologically scattered plan for a major-party presidential nominee. It is a tapestry of supply-side conservatism and liberal populism. It promises to free American companies to compete more successfully on the world stage and to force America's top trading partners into submission.

Perhaps paradoxically, it also claims that those trading partners will be better off for bowing to Trump's demands.

The plan's guiding theory is that the U.S. economy is growing slowly because past presidents in the globalization era haven't even tried to level the free-trade playing field in America's favor.

A new, 30-page analysis of Trump's economic proposals, penned by two of his senior policy advisers and issued Sunday evening by Trump's campaign, provides the most detailed look yet into how Trump envisions his economic plan boosting growth, wages and wealth — through policies that together defy partisan convention.

It demonstrates, in quantifiable terms, that trade policy is as important to Trump's economic promises as tax cuts — and that if he fails to change the terms of globalization, he will face a huge budget shortfall.

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One of its authors, a University of California at Irvine economist named Peter Navarro, describes the paper, titled "Scoring the Trump Economic Plan: Trade, Regulatory, & Energy Policy Impacts," as simply "the whole chessboard."

Read the rest on Wonkblog.


 

Chart of the day

Young American men are spending more time playing video games and less time at work. Ana Swanson has more.

2300-videogames3-0921 (1)


Top policy tweets

"My personal opinion... of Peter Navarro's white paper is that the entire section on trade is nonsense." -- @AlanMCole

"Jerry Brown vetoes bill that would have placed greater weight on student test scores to evaluate schools & districts https://t.co/K9NF9TjqGl" -- @rmc031

"Obama's historic anti-inequality policies make all Americans more secure, not just the poor https://t.co/UpGewRD6Cn" -- @DKThomp

"Important... op-ed on the need for land use reform https://t.co/QVTgdW90MQ" -- @mattyglesias

 
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