Thursday 29 September 2016

Wonkbook: The decline of the middle class is causing even more economic damage than we realized -- by Larry Summers

By Lawrence H. Summers I have just come across an International Monetary Fund working paper on income polarization in the United States that makes an important contribution to the secular stagnation debate. The authors — Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga and Juan Solé — use standard econometric techniques to estimate the impact of declines in middle class incomes …
 
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A sign is seen in front of a foreclosed home November 19, 2008 in Rio Vista, Calif. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

A sign is seen in front of a foreclosed home November 19, 2008 in Rio Vista, Calif. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

By Lawrence H. Summers

I have just come across an International Monetary Fund working paper on income polarization in the United States that makes an important contribution to the secular stagnation debate. The authors — Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga and Juan Solé — use standard econometric techniques to estimate the impact of declines in middle class incomes on total consumer spending. They find that polarization has reduced consumer spending by more than 3 percent or about $400 billion annually. If these findings stand up to scrutiny, they deserve to have a policy impact.

This level of reduction in spending is huge. For example, it exceeds by a significant margin the impact in any year of the Obama stimulus program.

Read the rest on Wonkblog.


 

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"Economists find expanding paid maternity leave (in Norway) not worth the cost. What do you all think? https://t.co/p8T2hO2XDK" -- @asociologist

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