Tuesday, 14 June 2016

Wonkbook: Why Donald Trump could be a threat to the Federal Reserve

By Ylan Q. Mui The Federal Reserve cherishes its political independence, charting a course for the nation's economy free from partisan influence. Yet the central bank has found itself in the shadow of not just one, but two, unpredictable and highly contentious elections as it debates when to resume withdrawing its historic support for the recovery. The …
 
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epaselect epa05202072 US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a press conference at the Trump National Golf Club Jupiter in Jupiter, Florida, USA, 08 March 2016. The Florida Presidential Preference Primary Election will be held on 15 March 2016.  EPA/CRISTOBAL HERRERA

Donald Trump speaks at the Trump National Golf Club Jupiter in Jupiter, Fla., on March 8. (Christobal Herrera/European Pressphoto Agency)

By Ylan Q. Mui

The Federal Reserve cherishes its political independence, charting a course for the nation's economy free from partisan influence. Yet the central bank has found itself in the shadow of not just one, but two, unpredictable and highly contentious elections as it debates when to resume withdrawing its historic support for the recovery.

The Fed's top officials are meeting in Washington this week and are widely expected to leave the central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged Wednesday. It's a testament not only to renewed fears of a slowdown at home, but also uncertainty about the upcoming referendum in Britain over whether to stay in the European Union.

The calendar doesn't look much more promising this fall. Holding off on rate hikes now pushes the Fed's debate into the final months of the U.S. presidential campaign, complicating a decision that is already dividing the central bank. Wall Street isn't betting that the Fed will move until December, well after the election is over and a full year after the central bank hiked rates for the first time since the Great Recession.

Read the rest on Wonkblog.


 

Quote of the day

"There's something going on." -- Donald Trump, in an interview on Fox & Friends Monday during which he seemed to connect President Obama to the killings in Orlando. Polling shows Trump's supporters are more likely to endorse a range of conspiracy theories than those who support other Republican candidates. Max Ehrenfreund has more.

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Top policy tweets

"Huge news: The FCC just won a sweeping federal court victory on net neutrality https://t.co/AWowSbZ8tI" -- @b_fung

"This is the first significant anti-monopoly principle affirmatively put into legal force since at least the 1970s" -- @linamkhan

"If reclassification was broadband policy's nuclear option, does that mean we're now living through a broadband nuclear winter?" -- @binarybits

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