Friday, 17 June 2016

Wonkbook: The interesting thing that happened when Kansas cut taxes and California hiked them

By Jim Tankersley and Max Ehrenfreund In 2012, voters in California approved a measure to raise taxes on millionaires, bringing their top state income tax rate to 13.3 percent, the highest in the nation. Conservative economists predicted calamity, or at least a big slowdown in growth. Also that year, the governor of Kansas signed a …
 
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Presidential candidate Bernie Sanders poses for a photograph with workers as he stops to eat at an In-N-Out Burger after a rally on June 3, 2016, in Pinole, Calif. (Photo by Matt McClain/The Washington Post)

By Jim Tankersley and Max Ehrenfreund

In 2012, voters in California approved a measure to raise taxes on millionaires, bringing their top state income tax rate to 13.3 percent, the highest in the nation. Conservative economists predicted calamity, or at least a big slowdown in growth. Also that year, the governor of Kansas signed a series of changes to the state's tax code, including reducing income and sales tax rates. Conservative economists predicted a boom.

Neither of those predictions came true. Not right away -- California grew just fine in the year the tax hikes took effect -- and especially not in the medium term, as new economic data showed this week.

Now, correlation does not, as they say, equal causation, and two examples are but a small sample. But the divergent experiences of California and Kansas run counter to a popular view, particularly among conservative economists, that tax cuts tend to supercharge growth and tax increases chill it.

Read the rest on Wonkblog.


 

Number of the day

223.

That's how many times people on the federal terrorist watch list purchased guns last year. Christopher Ingraham has more.


 

Top policy tweets

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