No, President Trump, you did not modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal in six months. As part of his saber-rattling with North Korea this week, President Trump said: "My first order as President was to renovate and modernize our nuclear arsenal. It is now far stronger and more powerful than ever before." Readers wanted to know: Can the nuclear arsenal be modernized so quickly? Short answer: No. Trump is referring to his first national security memorandum, which included a call to “initiate a new Nuclear Posture Review to ensure that the United States nuclear deterrent is modern, robust, flexible, resilient, ready, and appropriately tailored to deter 21st-century threats and reassure our allies." But a Nuclear Posture Review is something that is required under a congressional mandate. The last one was completed in 2010, under Barack Obama, so it would make sense for Trump to order a new one. Moreover, nuclear modernization takes a long time — think: decades. Not months or days. We awarded Four Pinocchios. Enjoy this newsletter? Forward it to someone else who'd like it! If this e-mail was forwarded to you, sign up here for the weekly newsletter. Hear something fact-checkable? Send it here, we’ll check it out. Does low-skilled immigration hurt American workers? Trump wants to restrict both legal and illegal immigration. He and his aides claim that America has “operated a very low-skill immigration system,” which has “placed substantial pressure on American workers, taxpayers and community resources.” Is that the case? Not quite. Low-skilled immigration increased sharply after 1970, but leveled off by the mid-2000s. So he is using outdated data. Overall, there is no evidence that immigration depresses wages or employment of natives, according to a comprehensive study by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine. Low-skilled immigration did have small — not “substantial” — effects on wages of certain subgroups of native workers: high school dropouts, teenagers, low-skilled African American workers, and low-skilled Hispanics (immigrants and native-born), especially those with poor English skills. The NAS report also found that in the long run, immigration — both high- and low-skilled — is a net positive to the U.S. economy. Over 75 years, each immigrant represents $259,000 in net present value for federal, state and local governments. We awarded Three Pinocchios.  giphy.com Help us fact-check your congressional town halls. When Congress left Washington for the April recess, we asked our readers to help us fact-check their local town halls. We were overwhelmed with submissions from coast to coast. We ended up fact-checking what members of Congress from seven different states said about lawmakers’ health insurance, Medicare, the national debt and the cost of President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago travels. |
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