Friday, 11 August 2017

Fact Checker: No, President Trump, you did not modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal in six months.

No, President Trump, you did not modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal in six months. As part of his saber-rattling with North Korea this week, President Trump said: "My first order as President was to renovate and modernize our nuclear arsenal. It is now far stronger and more powerful than ever before." Readers wanted to know: Can …
 
Democracy Dies in Darkness
 
 
Fact Checker
The truth behind the rhetoric
 
 

No, President Trump, you did not modernize the U.S. nuclear arsenal in six months.

As part of his saber-rattling with North Korea this week, President Trump said: "My first order as President was to renovate and modernize our nuclear arsenal. It is now far stronger and more powerful than ever before." Readers wanted to know: Can the nuclear arsenal be modernized so quickly?

Short answer: No.

Trump is referring to his first national security memorandum, which included a call to “initiate a new Nuclear Posture Review to ensure that the United States nuclear deterrent is modern, robust, flexible, resilient, ready, and appropriately tailored to deter 21st-century threats and reassure our allies."

But a Nuclear Posture Review is something that is required under a congressional mandate. The last one was completed in 2010, under Barack Obama, so it would make sense for Trump to order a new one.

Moreover, nuclear modernization takes a long time — think: decades. Not months or days. We awarded Four Pinocchios.

Enjoy this newsletter? Forward it to someone else who'd like it! If this e-mail was forwarded to you, sign up here for the weekly newsletter. Hear something fact-checkable? Send it here, we’ll check it out.

Does low-skilled immigration hurt American workers? 

Trump wants to restrict both legal and illegal immigration. He and his aides claim that America has “operated a very low-skill immigration system,” which has “placed substantial pressure on American workers, taxpayers and community resources.” Is that the case?

Not quite. Low-skilled immigration increased sharply after 1970, but leveled off by the mid-2000s. So he is using outdated data.

Overall, there is no evidence that immigration depresses wages or employment of natives, according to a comprehensive study by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine. Low-skilled immigration did have small — not “substantial” — effects on wages of certain subgroups of native workers: high school dropouts, teenagers, low-skilled African American workers, and low-skilled Hispanics (immigrants and native-born), especially those with poor English skills.

The NAS report also found that in the long run, immigration — both high- and low-skilled — is a net positive to the U.S. economy. Over 75 years, each immigrant represents $259,000 in net present value for federal, state and local governments. We awarded Three Pinocchios.

giphy.com

Help us fact-check your congressional town halls.

When Congress left Washington for the April recess, we asked our readers to help us fact-check their local town halls. We were overwhelmed with submissions from coast to coast. We ended up fact-checking what members of Congress from seven different states said about lawmakers’ health insuranceMedicare, the national debt and the cost of President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago travels.

ADVERTISEMENT
 

Congress is now in August recess. We want to fact-check what they’re telling you at Senate and House district town halls — and we need your help. Will you be at a town hall? Send us claims to fact check. Here’s how:

  • Send us the URL, Google Drive link, YouTube or Facebook Live link to the video or audio of the town hall, or email us your video or audio clips.
  • If you send full audio or video clips of the town hall, tell us the approximate minute marks of the suspect claim.
  • Write the claim down, and submit it using this form.

We'll take suggestions for any topic that piques your interest, though we're especially interested in health care, immigration, actions taken by President Trump's administration, and the federal budget.

Facts about Guam! You’ve probably heard about the Pacific island of Guam a lot this week, due to North Korea’s nuclear threats against the U.S. territory, home to two military bases. Well, Fact Checker’s Michelle Ye Hee Lee is actually from Guam, and has all the answers to your questions you may suddenly have about the island and its culture. Guam is more than just a U.S. military base, and the Chamorros (natives of Guam) have a rich 4,000-year history of their own. (For more, check out Guampedia, an encyclopedia of the history of Guam and the Mariana Islands, and the Chamorro heritage.)

We’re always looking for fact-check suggestions. You can also reach us via email, Twitter (@myhlee@GlennKesslerWP@mmkelly22 or use #FactCheckThis), or Facebook (Fact Checker or myhlee). Read about our rating scale here, and sign up here for our weekly Fact Checker newsletter. 

Scroll down for this week’s Pinocchio roundup.

— Michelle Ye Hee Lee

 
President Trump’s claim of Obamacare ‘bailouts’ for insurance companies
The president is referring to subsidies to reduce the cost of health insurance for low-income people. Those aren't bailouts.
 
Trump’s claim that U.S. nuclear arsenal is ‘now far stronger and more powerful’
Actually, nothing has changed in the nuclear arsenal since Trump took office. His staff is still writing a policy.
 
Trump, Russia and the opposition research firm run by ex-journalists
What is Fusion GPS and did it receive Russian government funds as it investigated Donald Trump?
 
President Trump’s claim that low-skilled immigration placed ‘substantial pressure’ on U.S. workers
Trump exaggerates the impact of low-skilled immigration on native workers' wages.
 
 
Trump’s effort to blame Obama for the opioid epidemic
Trump suggests that Obama let opioid prosecutions fall during his presidency but cites data that does not show that.
 
Fact-checking the Stephen Miller-Jim Acosta exchange on immigration
We look into key claims made in a debate between the White House aide and the CNN journalist.
 
History lesson: Why did Bill Clinton’s North Korea deal fail?
Some conservatives blame the former president for the current North Korea crisis. What actually happened is more complicated.
 
Dear readers, help us fact-check your lawmakers during August recess
Will you be at a Senate or House town hall in your district?
 
ADVERTISEMENT
 
Recommended for you
 
The Energy 202
Your daily guide to the energy and environment debate.
Sign Up »
 
     
 
©2017 The Washington Post, 1301 K St NW, Washington DC 20071
 
 
 

No comments:

Post a Comment