A sign is seen in front of a foreclosed home November 19, 2008 in Rio Vista, Calif. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) By Lawrence H. Summers I have just come across an International Monetary Fund working paper on income polarization in the United States that makes an important contribution to the secular stagnation debate. The authors — Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga and Juan Solé — use standard econometric techniques to estimate the impact of declines in middle class incomes on total consumer spending. They find that polarization has reduced consumer spending by more than 3 percent or about $400 billion annually. If these findings stand up to scrutiny, they deserve to have a policy impact. This level of reduction in spending is huge. For example, it exceeds by a significant margin the impact in any year of the Obama stimulus program. Read the rest on Wonkblog. Top policy tweets "Interesting discussion including important point from @sangerkatz people mean different things by public option https://t.co/rMu7vcIG0X" -- @mhstein "Economists find expanding paid maternity leave (in Norway) not worth the cost. What do you all think? https://t.co/p8T2hO2XDK" -- @asociologist "How much would removing geographic mismatch in the labor market reduce unemployment? https://t.co/2wfGn1yoDa" -- @nick_bunker |
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