Friday, 15 March 2019

Fact Checker: Larry Kudlow’s virtual reality

 
Democracy Dies in Darkness
 
 
Fact Checker
The truth behind the rhetoric
 
 

Larry Kudlow's virtual reality

President Trump's chief economic adviser has been making the rounds on TV with a shiny new talking point. Kudlow says the president's tax cuts are "virtually paid for" when considering updated economic numbers. He's citing a Feb. 28 analysis from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. But he's getting it all wrong.

On CNBC and PBS, Kudlow said a new economic forecast by the CBO shows that 80 percent of the tax cuts' cost will be paid for over 10 years. The CBO did revise upward by $7 trillion its nominal GDP forecast for the 2017 to 2027 period. But it specifically said that only $2.33 trillion of that was tied to the economic effects of the tax cuts. The rest comes from a series of changes that are not tied to the tax reductions. Kudlow deceptively took the overall $7 trillion figure to make his point.

In the same report, the CBO said the increased economic activity sparked by the tax cuts would offset only 20 percent of the growth they would cause in the deficit (that's a far cry from 80 percent). Kudlow blew past all these careful distinctions and earned Four Pinocchios.

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AOC's misleading comparison between the wall and opioid emergencies

On one hand, Trump has declared a national emergency to build a border wall. On the other, the president has declared an emergency on the deadly opioid epidemic.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) wondered on Twitter why Trump had transferred tens of millions of dollars for the wall but $0 for the opioid crisis. At a House committee hearing, Ocasio-Cortez focused on the Public Health Emergency Fund — according to the Government Accountability Office, the fund has just $57,000 in it — and whether the declaration of a public health crisis regarding opioids should have triggered a transfer of money from other agencies.

This is a highly misleading comparison worth Three Pinocchios. Congress has refused to fund the wall. But it approved $6 billion for the opioid crisis after Trump's emergency declaration. That money may not be in the Public Health Emergency Fund, but it's nonetheless devoted to the opioid emergency.

 

The Fact Checker, Season 2

Video is a huge part of what we do at The Fact Checker, and we're redoubling our efforts to reach as many people as possible.

Introducing ... The Fact Checker, Season 2. Hosted by Meg Kelly, we will be offering detailed video fact-checks, dissecting everything from political rhetoric to deceptively edited videos to high-tech propaganda.

Check us out on YouTube. For our first installment, here's Meg piercing through Trump's rhetoric on having "defeated" ISIS. Spoiler alert: They've lost all their territory, but they're still lurking about.

We're always looking for fact-check suggestions.

You can also reach us via email, Twitter (@GlennKesslerWP, @mmkelly22, @rizzoTK or use #FactCheckThis), or Facebook (Fact Checker). Read about our rating scale here, and sign up here for our weekly Fact Checker newsletter.

Scroll down for this week's Pinocchio roundup.

— Salvador Rizzo

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Larry Kudlow's claim that 'we have virtually paid for' Trump's tax cut
Trump's chief economic adviser is spinning a CBO report beyond recognition.
 
Ocasio-Cortez's misleading complaint: Trump did not transfer funds for the opioid emergency
Rep. Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) misleadingly compares Trump's action on border-wall funding with the response to the opioid health-care emergency.
 
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President Trump stretches others' comments to claim 'no collusion'
Trump is miscasting various comments by Richard Burr, Michael Cohen, Paul Manafort's attorney and the judge who sentenced Manafort.
 
Democrats engage in 'Mediscare' spin on the Trump budget
Democrats misleadingly claim President Trump is cutting $850 billion from Medicare, stealing a page from the GOP playbook during the debates over Obamacare.
 
 
Have Iraq and Syria been 'liberated' from ISIS, as President Trump says?
President Trump has claimed his administration has defeated ISIS and beaten back the caliphate in various ways. But the reality is more complex.
 
 
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