But those cases are unusual. Fewer than 1 in 4 U.S. Senate candidates surpass the president’s approval rating by six percentage points or more, and fewer than 1 in 10 exceed presidential approval by at least 10 points. When a president’s ratings are low, most candidates from their party go down with the ship.
Poll of two key House districts shows good signs for Democrats, but no tsunami — Several House seats could flip blue in Virginia this fall, with a new Washington Post-Schar School poll showing one Democrat ahead in a district held by Republicans for decades and another modestly behind in a deeply red district that Trump carried by double digits just two years ago. Check out our story on the poll. Picking up on the storyline above, Republican Rep. Rob Wittman is running five points above Trump’s approval rating in the 1st District (46 percent versus 41 percent), while Republican John McGuire is running four points above Trump in the 5th District (51 percent versus 47 percent). Record low say college is important, but there’s a caveat — A Gallup poll released Thursday finds 31 percent of U.S. adults say a college education is “very important,” ticking down from 35 percent last year but down sharply from 51 percent in 2019 and 70 percent in 2013. The current poll finds another 39 percent saying college is “fairly important,” while 29 percent say it isn’t important. But the shift in opinions hasn’t reduced college enrollment. As The Post’s Danielle Douglas-Gabriel reported in January, enrollment at colleges and universities increased for the third straight year in fall 2025, leading to the largest total enrollment in a decade according to the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. Study finds AI is bad at imitating human survey respondents — The Pew Research Center released a study testing whether AI models can accurately mimic answers from human survey respondents. “We used a ‘digital twins’ approach for this study, asking an AI model to adopt the personas of real humans” who are members of their national survey panel, giving the model a wide range of information about each panelist from previous surveys. On average, AI-generated samples differed by 12.4 percentage points from the human samples they attempted to mirror. Among other patterns, AI samples were prone to leaning on racial or partisan stereotypes, estimating that 97 percent of Hispanic adults were likely to follow the World Cup (the actual poll found 43 percent) and that 95 percent of Republicans like Israel (actually 58 percent).
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