Friday, 4 August 2017

Fact Checker: That was then, this is now. Trump's big flip-flop on stock market highs

That was then, this is now. Trump’s big flip-flop on stock market highs For years, Donald Trump warned that the stock market was in a "bubble" and ready to crash — and then he became president. The Dow closed at an all-time high this week, and Trump is celebrating stock market highs to no end. He tweeted …
 
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That was then, this is now. Trump’s big flip-flop on stock market highs

For years, Donald Trump warned that the stock market was in a "bubble" and ready to crash — and then he became president.

The Dow closed at an all-time high this week, and Trump is celebrating stock market highs to no end. He tweeted it multiple times and mentioned it during nearly every public appearance in the past few weeks, as stocks kept rising.

On Tuesday, when the market closed at 21,963.92, Trump tweeted: "Stock Market could hit all-time high (again) 22,000 today. Was 18,000 only 6 months ago on Election Day. Mainstream media seldom mentions!"

Yet these were his pre-election descriptions of rising stock markets:

  • “So bloated” (June 2015)
  • “Inflated … that’s a bad sign” (April 2016)
  • “Not pretty … a big bubble” (August 2016)
  • “They’re keeping the rates artificially low … It’s a very false economy” (September 2016)
  • “A big, fat, ugly bubble” (September 2016)
  • … and so on.

The president has never explained his shift in position on the stock market, especially now that the Fed has raised interest rates three times since he was elected. He earns yet another upside-down Pinocchio for his flip-flop.

(giphy.com)

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Trump’s dubious claims about immigration — both legal and illegal

Trump aims to restrict both legal and illegal immigration. This week, we fact-checked claims about both types of immigration.

First, legal immigration. Trump endorsed a Senate bill that would slash legal immigration by half over a decade. Trump claimed the bill would prevent new immigrants from getting public assistance “immediately.”

But that’s misleading in several ways. There are some exceptions, but most new lawful permanent residents must live in the U.S. for at least five years before they can qualify for government assistance. Moreover, the bill itself would only apply to a small portion (about 14 percent) of new immigrants, and the exemptions would remain. We awarded Three Pinocchios.

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On illegal immigration, Trump claimed apprehensions along the Southwest border are down by 78 to 80 percent. He declared success, claiming illegal immigration in fact went up, not down, under previous administrations. That was thoroughly incorrect.

Border apprehensions are down, but nowhere near 80 percent. Depending on how you calculate it, the decline ranges from 8 to 53 percent. And illegal border crossings have steadily declined since their peak in 2000. We awarded Four Pinocchios.

(giphy.com)

Fact-checking Trump’s phone calls with Mexico and Australia

This week, our colleague Greg Miller on The Washington Post’s national security team obtained official White House transcripts of Trump’s phone calls with Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto and Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull. Trump said many false or misleading in the phone calls, so we fact-checked them in The Post’s annotated transcripts.

We’re always looking for fact-check suggestions. You can also reach us via email, Twitter (@myhlee@GlennKesslerWP@mmkelly22 or use #FactCheckThis), or Facebook (Fact Checker or myhlee). Read about our rating scale here, and sign up here for our weekly Fact Checker newsletter. 

Scroll down for this week’s Pinocchio roundup.

— Michelle Ye Hee Lee

 
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